Friday, January 1, 2021

Overshadowed by COVID: The Deadly Extreme Weather of 2020

Again and again and again we must educate ourselves and then speak the truth as loudly as we possibly can about the single greatest threat to humankind and to most all of life on Earth: human caused global warming. And we need to connect the dots and share its connection to all other threats to the well-being of our species and to all species. Vigorously addressing the climate crisis holds the potential, not just to bequeath our children and grandchildren with a habitable planet, but also to heal and transform the roots of deep poverty and suffering, inequity and injustice, destruction and death nationwide and globally. This is the great calling of our time and all time. Everything, absolutely everything, that we love and cherish is at stake. ― Molly 

What's left of the Rio Grande forms much forms much of the US-Mexico border.

2020 was alarming, unforgettable and traumatic—and not only because of COVID-19. Lethal natural hazards are increasing in frequency under our changing climate, and 2020 is a testament to that.

 

The year 2020 will no doubt go down in history for other reasons, but it is also on target to be one of the warmest on record. And as the climate warms, natural hazards will happen more frequently – and be ever more lethal.

We are early career researchers in meteorology, geography and environmental sciences, and each of us focus on a different hazard. We may not have been as in demand as our colleagues in virology departments, but we nonetheless had a particularly interesting and busy year. So while attention was often focused elsewhere, perhaps understandably, here are some of the meteorological extremes recorded in 2020.

Wicked wildfires

The year began with apocalyptic scenes of wildfires in Australia, fuelled by heatwaves. It was an image that would play out time and time again in 2020.

In June, Siberia began to burn on an unprecedented scale, at the same time as record temperatures which climate change had made 600 times more likely.

A forest fire near the city of Cuiabu, Brazil, August 2020.

Through July and August, the west coast of the US was ablaze. The worst wildfire season in 70 years again coincided with a heatwave, with Death Valley in California recording America’s highest temperature for at least a century – maybe ever.

By September, the Amazon rainforest and the world’s largest wetland to its south, the Pantanal, were on fire. More than a quarter of those fires happened in forest that had not been disturbed by deforestation.

In September 2019, fires in the Amazon had made worldwide headlines. In 2020 there were actually 66% more fires in that month, but attention was elsewhere.

Savage storms

In November, super typhoon Goni made landfall in the Philippines while at maximum intensity, with sustained wind speeds of 195mph. One of the strongest storms to ever make landfall worldwide, Goni directly affected nearly nearly 70 million people, leading to at least 26 fatalities – a number that would have undoubtedly been higher if not for the evacuation of almost 1 million people.

But it wasn’t just wind that posed serious hazards in the western Pacific in 2020. Tropical storms Linfa and Nangka caused significant flooding across Vietnam, exacerbating the problems caused by an unusually active monsoon. More than 136,000 homes were flooded and more than 100 people died.

In the North Atlantic, 2020 was the busiest hurricane season on record, with 30 named storms and six major hurricanes. The single costliest storm of the season, Hurricane Laura, made landfall in Haiti and Louisiana, killing 77 people and causing more than US$14 billion (£10 billion) in damages.

Two major hurricanes, Eta and Iota, caused significant damage in Honduras and Nicaragua. They made landfall in the region in November, just two weeks and 15 miles apart. This is a humanitarian crisis yet one that has received relatively little attention overseas.

A woman in Columbia looks out at the destruction caused by Hurricane Iota.

Frightening floods 
 
The world’s deadliest flooding this year took place in east Africa in March through May. At least 430 lives were lost and an estimated 116,000 people were displaced in Kenya alone. The previous dry season was particularly wet, and was followed by above average rainfall during the “long rains” of March-May, meaning the vast Lake Victoria had twice its normal rainfall.
 
Africa on May 5 and 6, 2020: areas experiencing flood watch (red), warning (orange), or advisory (green) conditions.

Though the rainfall was predicted in advance, locust outbreaks and COVID meant vulnerable people were already less able to handle the floods and secondary hazards such as widespread landslides and a cholera outbreak. The wet conditions were also ideal for further breeding of desert locusts. When it rains, it truly does pour. 
 
Devastating droughts

Water crises caused by droughts and resource mismanagement were ranked as the fifth highest risk in terms of impact in the 2020 Global Risks Report - greater than infectious diseases and unemployment.

The severe drought across central and western US is the first billion-dollar drought of 2020, contributing to a record-breaking 16 weather and climate disasters with USD$1 billion or more in damages in the US in 2020 alone.

Conditions during 2020 represented the latest phase of a “mega-drought” over the past 20 years. By the peak in summer, a third of the US was in a moderate drought and much of the west was under severe to extreme drought. This coincided with abnormally hot summer temperatures and over 2 million acres of land burned nationwide, further enhancing drought conditions in a vicious cycle.

Drought conditions across the lower 4 states, August 11, 2020.

The Rio Grande river, a major source of water supply for southwest states, would have completely ceased to flow had water providers not decided to pause existing water diversion schemes. Other impacts included crop damage from one in 50 year dry soil moisture conditions and a rise in dust storms  reminiscent of the 1930s Dust Bowl.

The latest seasonal outlooks estimate that drought conditions may extend westwards and persist into 2021, complicating the recovery from a difficult year.

Horrendous heatwaves

In May, while a large cyclone struck Bangladesh and eastern India, the north of India experienced temperatures of up to 47℃. This also delayed the onset of the monsoon, impacting farming.

The northern hemisphere summer saw repeated heatwaves, culminating in mid-August. Japan, for instance, had record-breaking temperatures with cities across the country having multiple days at 40°C. In one week, more than 12,000 people were admitted to hospital with heat-related illnesses. Even the UK’s heatwave, accompanied by tropical nights, caused 1,700 excess deaths.

An all too familiar sight.

At the start of the summer season in Australia, temperature records have already been broken. It seems the year will go out on an extreme high.

2020 was alarming, unforgettable and traumatic – and not only because of COVID-19. Lethal natural hazards are increasing in frequency under our changing climate, and 2020 is a testament to that.

Please go here for the original article: https://www.commondreams.org/views/2021/01/01/overshadowed-covid-deadly-extreme-weather-2020

It’s Time We Called It What It Is: Fascism

An excellent article. ― Molly

"A 2020 study by the RAND Corporation shows that between 1975 and 2018, $50 TRILLION of combined income was transferred from the lowest 90% of income earners to the top 1%. It’s the greatest episode of internal looting from one class to another within the same society, ever recorded. This is the root cause of the widespread, blistering rage that manifests today as Trumpism."

People line up for groceries and gift cards given out by Neighbors in Need in the parking lot of the 7th Day Adventist Church in Lawrence, MA on Nov. 23, 2020. Food insecurity has grown in low-income communities during the coronavirus pandemic, and many food pantries and banks have had to serve more families.

The epic thrash we’re witnessing is because the forces of capitalism, seeing a terminal economic crash approaching, are attempting to preemptively replace democracy with authoritarianism—fascism—so that they can control the outcome.

 

When the economy in a democratic but capitalist country fails, there are two alternatives. You can modify the economic system. Or, you can modify the political system.

When you modify the economic system (capitalism) but retain the political system (democracy), you have the arrangement the U.S. has lived under since capitalism failed in the 1930s, in the Great Depression.

The other alternative is where the economic system (capitalism) is retained but the political system (democracy) is discarded and replaced with authoritarianism. This is fascism and is what happened in Germany, also in the 1930s.

The battle between capitalism and democracy is the conflict that is being fought out in the U.S. right now. The epic thrash we’re witnessing is because the forces of capitalism, seeing a terminal economic crash approaching, are attempting to preemptively replace democracy with authoritarianism—fascism—so that they can control the outcome. A quick look at history shows us the pattern.

In the 1930s, the U.S. experienced the greatest economic collapse in its history, the Great Depression. GDP fell by 25%. Bread lines became an iconic feature of the urban American landscape. Franklin D. Roosevelt put in place economic policies to mitigate the damage and prevent future collapses.

He put tens of millions of people to work through “alphabetical agencies” such as the Civilian Conservation Corps, the National Industrial Recovery Act, and the Works Progress Administration. He imposed FDIC requirements on banks and insured investor’ deposits.  He separated commercial banking from investment banking and created unemployment insurance and Social Security.

The sum of Roosevelt’s policies saved capitalism from its own inadvertently attempted suicide. But not everybody was happy with Roosevelt’s reforms. A cabal of disgruntled bankers attempted a fascist coup d’ etat. It failed, because the man they had recruited to lead the coup, retired Marine General Smedley Butler, ratted them out to Congress. But the very fact of the attempted coup showed just how far capitalists will go to avoid constraints put on them by democracy.

Clearly, Roosevelt’s reforms worked. He modified the economy from a purely capitalistic orientation, giving it “guard rails” that would prevent another collapse. But he kept the country’s small-d democratic political institutions intact. The result was one of the most buoyant periods of both economic and political progress the world has ever seen.

The other model of what happens when a capitalist economy fails is Weimar Germany, also in the 1930s. Germany had suffered three economic debacles in just over a decade. Those were the loss in World War I, the Great Inflation of the 1920s, and the Great Depression, the same Great Depression Roosevelt confronted. But the German response could not have been more different than Roosevelt’s.

Where Roosevelt had kept the political system intact but modified the economic system, Germany did the opposite. In January 1933, just 32 days before FDR was inaugurated, German president Paul von Hindenburg appointed Adolph Hitler Chancellor. Hitler had promised German elites that he would crush the civil unrest that had been borne of economic collapse. He kept his promise.

Hitler kept the capitalist system intact, funneling tens of billions of dollars to weapons makers, financiers, and industrialists. But he dismantled German democracy. He banned competing political parties, suspended civil liberties, outlawed trade unions, had thousands of political opponents murdered, and imposed martial law. This was fascism—the operation of government for the benefit of corporations and the wealthy. We all know what happened next.

What can these two polar responses to capitalist economic collapse tell us about the situation in the U.S. today?

The U.S. economy has been in a four-decades long engineered decline, which is now accelerating. The owners of capital have intentionally de-industrialized the economy in order to get their money out.  This has put tens of millions of formerly high paid workers out of work.  At the same time, they engineered a massive transfer of wealth from the working and middle classes to the very wealthiest. This was Reagan’s supply-side economics. The data tell the story. 

A 2020 study by the RAND Corporation shows that between 1975 and 2018, $50 TRILLION of combined income was transferred from the lowest 90% of income earners to the top 1%. It’s the greatest episode of internal looting from one class to another within the same society, ever recorded. This is the root cause of the widespread, blistering rage that manifests today as Trumpism.

The immediate problem with this scheme was that it didn’t leave enough income and purchasing power in the hands of people to clear the markets. Unless something was done to restore the lost liquidity, the economy would fall into prolonged recession, or depression. The work-around was that the government began borrowing money at a prodigious rate to plug the holes in aggregate demand that its income transfers had created. Again, the data tell the story.

In 1981, when Ronald Reagan took power, the national debt stood at $1 trillion. In its first 204 years, that was the total amount the country had needed to borrow. Twelve years later, when Reagan’s Vice President, George H.W. Bush left office, the debt had quadrupled to $4 trillion. This is the amount that was needed to offset the transfers and the loss of tax payments to the government that resulted from Reagan’s upward redistributive policies. But that was only the beginning.

By 2001, when George W. Bush took office, the debt had reached $5.7 trillion, a large but still manageable sum. Like Reagan, Bush cut taxes on the wealthy, not once but twice.  The result was that when he left office, the debt had essentially doubled, reaching $11 trillion. Since then, it has more than doubled again, to more than $27 trillion today.

It’s unfathomable, but it is the measure of the degree of damage that Reagan’s policies inflicted and continue to inflict on the economy. This year alone, the government has had to borrow more than $4 trillion just to keep the ship of the economy afloat.  That is four times what the country had had to borrow in its first 204 years, combined. It’s almost $11 billion every day.

To put that into perspective, a few years ago, the Chinese government made a one-time investment of $10 billion to build a national quantum computing research center.  It has produced a computer that appears to be a trillion times more powerful than any existing supercomputer in the world. If successful, it will be game over for all other countries using conventional computers to run their economies, or militaries. Again, the amount invested to accomplish this was less than one day’s borrowing by the U.S. government today.

But even $11 billion of borrowing a day is not enough to keep the economy aright.  More than 30 million Americans are out of work today. Last week, an additional 1.4 million filed for unemployment insurance.  More than 8 million have been added to the poverty roles since the COVID crisis began. As many as 15 million households with 40 million people face potential eviction when January rent comes due.  Almost half of all small businesses—48%—fear they may have to shut down permanently.  Miles-long bread lines (now in cars) have returned as an iconic scar on the American urban landscape.

When the whole thing finally collapses nobody can precisely say, but it cannot be far off.  The U.S. is actuarially bankrupt, meaning that there is no plausible scenario under which these debts can possibly be paid.  At some point, lenders will stop lending.  When that happens, the government will be unable to deliver essential services and will have to impose martial law to contain the resulting disorder.  The COVID lockdowns we’re now living under are a dry run for that time.

Remember, Donald Trump knew in great detail in January just how deadly the virus was, and just how easily transmissible it is.  He intentionally kept this information from the public while relentlessly undermining any competent public health response. To put this into perspective, Japan has had a total of 2,462 COVID deaths since the pandemic started. The U.S. is having more than that number EVERY DAY and the rate is increasing. This is not an accident. It is not even simply incompetence. It is intentional.

The wealthy know all of this. That’s why they’ve taken their money out of the U.S. economy and stashed it in Swiss bank accounts, in tax havens in the Cayman islands, in new factories and shopping malls and tilt-up cities in east Asia, and in hedge funds investing in anything except the rehabilitation of the U.S. economy and its workforce.  Anywhere where their money is out of reach of the U.S. government and its ability to tax.

It’s why they have sponsored Donald Trump and his swelling legions of brownshirts and traitorous Republican congressmen to try to overturn the 2020 presidential election. For decades, they were able to carry out their suppression of democracy through such pedestrian means as gerrymandering, purging of voter rolls, closing polling places in minority neighborhoods, voter intimidation, and more. But even those devices are no longer sufficient.

They can see the awakening consciousness of the masses and know that as long as democracy is still functioning there remains the possibility that their decades-long heist could be reversed. They are intent that that will not happen. They will happily destroy the country—meaning democracy—in favor of fascism rather than have to surrender their ill-gotten gains. 

And we should be clear, this is not simply a 2020 phenomenon. They are playing a long game where, even if they don’t win this year, they will continue their assault until their end is achieved: democracy is destroyed. They will be back in 2022 and 2024 more savvy than ever. They’ve learned the weak points of our system and will attack at the level of county registrars of voters, state Secretaries of State, state legislatures, and any other weak points they can manipulate or intimidate to destroy functioning democracy.

The truly insidious goal is to destroy the public’s faith in democracy itself, so that that selfsame public will not defend the core institution on which the very country is premised. They have been remarkably successful at this, with some 70 million people believing that the election was rigged and that Donald Trump should be installed as an effective dictator, despite the fact that he conspicuously lost the popular vote by over 7 million votes, and the electoral college by 74 votes, a “landslide” as he called the exact same tally in 2016.

The mainstream media have been the central actors selling this decades-long campaign of dispossession, deceit, and destruction.  Every day for 40+ years, while $50 trillion was being covertly, systematically sluiced from the 90% to the 1%, they’ve served as cultural pacifiers, agents of diversion, happy chatterers, cooing to the populace that everything was fine, just as it was supposed to be, that America is the Exceptional country, and any doubt about that reflected not political or economic insight, certainly not moral courage, but moral failing, perhaps even treason, on the part of the doubter. 

The media remains the primary agent of deception and deflection still today. They locate all of the impetus for the democratic overthrow now underway in the person of Donald Trump himself.  This is an easy sale because Trump is so palpably repellent, so pathetically insecure and in need of constant attention, and so psychotically disturbed in his vehement insistence that he won the election and that democracy must be overturned so that that “fact” can be actualized. Trump is the political roadside wreck that we can’t stop rubbernecking and the media milk this for all it’s worth.

In truth, however, the impetus to overturn the democracy is decades old, is very deeply rooted, is vastly more sophisticated than Trump, and is only now coming to its apotheosis. It originates in the owners of great wealth, just as it did in the Great Depression, whether in the U.S. or in Germany.  They are the ones who own the media and hire buffoons like Trump for their ability to deflect rage from the failed economic system, and redirect it onto manufactured targets like the “deep state,” race, “socialist liberals” and other imaginary but useful boogie men.

The 126 quisling congressmen who have pushed Trump’s failed Texas lawsuit are not mainly afraid of Trump, as the media would have us believe. Trump will soon (we can only hope) be in jail where he will be deprived of his Twitter megaphone. The bootlickers are afraid of losing the campaign contributions of these “malefactors of great wealth,” as Roosevelt called them. They have been called to do what they have been bought to do and they must comply. They are cowards, traitors, truly moral midgets, but they can count.

The coup d’ etat to replace democracy with fascism is undeniably underway and will not relent until it has succeeded. It will be decided by which side can turn out more people onto the streets once the announcement is made.  Right now, it looks like the right, the fascists, with their stormtrooper thugs and gun-toting goons, armed with rage over reason and resentment over reality, have the momentum.  They certainly have the agitation, don’t they. We’ll soon find out how much the rest of the country really loves it when we see whether they will fight to save it.

Please go here for the original article: https://www.commondreams.org/views/2020/12/14/its-time-we-called-it-what-it-fascism?utm_campaign=echobox&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1607963444

Global Numbers On Who Has Lost Healthcare Coverage During the Pandemic

 Let this sink in!

Number of citizens who lost healthcare
coverage since the pandemic began:

14,600,000 United States
0 Australia
0 Belgium
0 Canada
0 Denmark
0 Finland
0 France
0 Germany
0 Italy
0 Japan
0 Norway
0 South Korea
0 Spain
0 UK
 
We must all work together to end this horrifying, 
heartless, inhuman, and brutal greed and insanity!
 
― Molly